This Week in Real Estate: October 16, 2017


The Consumer Sentiment Index for early October was released This Week in Real Estate, reaching its highest level since the start of 2004. Below are a few highlights from the second week of October that influence our business:

* Lot Values Stable at Record High. Single-family lot prices remained at record high levels in 2016, with half of the lots priced at or above $45,000. According to NAHB’s analysis of the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC) data, the median lot value reached $45,000 for the first time in 2015 exceeding the previous record of $43,000 reached in 2006. The Pacific division where densities are high and developed land is scarce has the smallest lots. However, high regulatory costs push the median lot value to $78,900, the second most expensive value in the nation. The lot values here are fast approaching the housing boom levels, when half of the lots were priced at above $82,000. The Pacific division lots also stand out for being most expensive in the nation in terms of per acre costs.
Full Story…

* Consumer Confidence Soars to Highest Level Since 2004. Consumer confidence crushed expectations in October, flying by a seven-month high hit in August. The consumer sentiment index, a survey of consumers by The University of Michigan, rose to 101.1 in October, far ahead of the 95 economists polled by Reuters anticipated. “Consumer sentiment surged in early October, reaching its highest level since the start of 2004,” Richard Curtin, chief economist for the Surveys of Consumers, said in a statement. Curtin noted that current trends indicated consumer spending continuing to expand through the middle of next year. He says, if that pace continues, it would mark the second longest expansion period since the mid-1800s. The economist says October’s numbers reflect “an unmistakable sense among consumers that economic prospects are now about as good as could be expected.”
Full Story…

* Serious Delinquency Rate for Home Loans Holds Steady at a Near 10-Year Low. CoreLogic released its month Loan Performance Insights Report on Tuesday which shows that, nationally, 4.6 percent of mortgages were in some stage of delinquency (30 days or more past due including those in foreclosure) in July 2017. This represents a 0.9 percentage point year-over-year decline in the overall delinquency rate compared with July 2016 when it was 5.5 percent. As of July 2017, the foreclosure inventory rate, which measures the share of mortgages in some stage of the foreclosure process, was 0.7 percent, down from 0.9 percent in July 2016 and the lowest since the rate was also 0.7 percent in July 2007. “While the U.S. foreclosure rate remains at a 10-year low as of July, the rate across the 100 largest metro areas varies from 0.1 percent in Denver to 2.2 percent in New York,” said Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic. “Likewise, the national serious delinquency rate remains at 1.9 percent, unchanged from June, and when analyzed across the 100 largest metros, rates vary from 0.6 percent in Denver to 4.1 percent in New York.”
Full Story…

Have a productive week!


Leave a Reply


©2016 BHH Affiliates, LLC. An independently operated subsidiary of HomeServices of America, Inc., a Berkshire Hathaway affiliate, and a franchisee of BHH Affiliates, LLC. Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices and the Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices symbol are registered service marks of HomeServices of America, Inc. Equal Housing Opportunity.